Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 1.373805 1.564246 1.771495 2.013794 2.289341 2.593009 2.953155
2025-11-23 1.082213 1.341902 1.649168 2.039619 2.522836 3.101662 3.848427
2025-11-30 0.905083 1.190425 1.548143 2.029698 2.661597 3.463485 4.560189
2025-12-07 0.769995 1.062880 1.447871 1.991244 2.739334 3.734678 5.162751
2025-12-14 0.662580 0.953752 1.352545 1.938989 2.780736 3.947657 5.693028
2025-12-21 0.586181 0.876055 1.287952 1.916368 2.852685 4.199390 6.290251
2025-12-28 0.549979 0.850676 1.292583 1.989884 3.064980 4.664306 7.233737
2026-01-04 0.495389 0.790968 1.239088 1.968577 3.129449 4.911082 7.865432
2026-01-11 0.465494 0.765684 1.234262 2.019661 3.307121 5.341641 8.816957
2026-01-18 0.429234 0.726111 1.202422 2.023063 3.406412 5.653519 9.600898
2026-01-25 0.391469 0.680058 1.155285 1.995710 3.450453 5.876078 10.251696
2026-02-01 0.355645 0.633669 1.102998 1.953902 3.464464 6.046679 10.824225
2026-02-08 0.329143 0.603748 1.080699 1.970491 3.596596 6.456992 11.905489
2026-02-15 0.305861 0.577718 1.063639 1.996659 3.752368 6.931096 13.166274
2026-02-22 0.280278 0.544375 1.029500 1.986915 3.839440 7.286890 14.241040
2026-03-01 0.254079 0.506858 0.983509 1.949276 3.868549 7.535533 15.133669
2026-03-08 0.229311 0.469357 0.933534 1.898125 3.864949 7.719192 15.914199
2026-03-15 0.210600 0.441891 0.900142 1.875981 3.915748 8.011965 16.941539
2026-03-22 0.203633 0.437696 0.912517 1.947944 4.165095 8.724685 18.908449
2026-03-29 0.188062 0.413739 0.882090 1.927087 4.217419 9.036854 20.056040
2026-04-05 0.180445 0.406071 0.884810 1.977092 4.425940 9.695400 22.021574
2026-04-12 0.169378 0.389630 0.867124 1.980422 4.531895 10.142578 23.560900
2026-04-19 0.156859 0.368619 0.837399 1.953647 4.567198 10.436918 24.780564